Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.005950 0.006638 0.007386 0.008262 0.009262 0.010371 0.011697
2025-03-23 0.004813 0.005745 0.006840 0.008233 0.009969 0.012078 0.014859
2025-03-30 0.004352 0.005435 0.006779 0.008589 0.010990 0.014105 0.018520
2025-04-06 0.003788 0.004893 0.006322 0.008331 0.011129 0.014953 0.020693
2025-04-13 0.003365 0.004471 0.005950 0.008110 0.011244 0.015726 0.022809
2025-04-20 0.003089 0.004211 0.005758 0.008094 0.011617 0.016875 0.025599
2025-04-27 0.002941 0.004108 0.005765 0.008352 0.012404 0.018713 0.029704
2025-05-04 0.002734 0.003899 0.005595 0.008318 0.012725 0.019843 0.032797
2025-05-11 0.002576 0.003745 0.005489 0.008365 0.013169 0.021211 0.036484
2025-05-18 0.002405 0.003556 0.005309 0.008273 0.013362 0.022164 0.039545
2025-05-25 0.002297 0.003456 0.005258 0.008380 0.013899 0.023771 0.044081
2025-06-01 0.002158 0.003295 0.005097 0.008285 0.014065 0.024716 0.047445
2025-06-08 0.001977 0.003060 0.004804 0.007951 0.013792 0.024856 0.049294
2025-06-15 0.001867 0.002933 0.004684 0.007913 0.014070 0.026106 0.053777
2025-06-22 0.001833 0.002930 0.004771 0.008253 0.015102 0.028998 0.062495
2025-06-29 0.001705 0.002759 0.004553 0.008008 0.014950 0.029414 0.065482
2025-07-06 0.001595 0.002610 0.004363 0.007796 0.014844 0.029909 0.068755
2025-07-13 0.001523 0.002523 0.004278 0.007781 0.015140 0.031326 0.074663
2025-07-20 0.001494 0.002510 0.004325 0.008028 0.016019 0.034193 0.085067
2025-07-27 0.001428 0.002428 0.004238 0.007995 0.016282 0.035651 0.091891
2025-08-03 0.001378 0.002369 0.004191 0.008040 0.016725 0.037607 0.100624
2025-08-10 0.001315 0.002283 0.004085 0.007952 0.016848 0.038776 0.107244
2025-08-17 0.001278 0.002245 0.004069 0.008054 0.017432 0.041220 0.118524